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Author Topic:   Pre post-rotation pick ups
marlo213
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posted March 08, 2013 08:42 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for marlo213 Send a private message to marlo213 Click to send marlo213 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View marlo213's Have/Want ListView marlo213's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Bugger:
I'd comment about how I hit a nerve if you weren't a total rhymes with runt to everyone on this site anyways.

What does everyone think about the loss of enemy checklands post rotation? Will the hit in fixing do enough to discourage 3-color wedge decks like BUG or UWR? (I mean UWR'll be losing bonfire and Geist as well, so that archetypes collapse probs won't just be due to lands...)


Sorry to disappoint you pooh-bear, but you don't really have credibility with me. You seem too...what's the word, wallpaper. Yes you are there and yes, you post stuff, but none of it has really impact, kinda like the question you just posted above. But since I am a nice guy, I will answer it for you:

There are 3 sets to be spoiled before the next rotation, wedge and everything else depends on what they print for the next 3 sets (more than half the card pool of standard).

 
marlo213
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posted March 08, 2013 09:21 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for marlo213 Send a private message to marlo213 Click to send marlo213 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View marlo213's Have/Want ListView marlo213's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by 2austin5:
Bugger and Marlo, please don't troll from another thread into mine. If you want to troll each other then PM each other, I just want to keep this as a healthy discussion for predictions, whether they are right or wrong doesn't matter, its just to see what people think, Thank you.

My apologies, I didn't see this before my last post. If I had to pick anything up after rotation, it would be any shockland that are at $6 or less

 
skizzikmonger
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posted March 08, 2013 09:32 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for skizzikmonger Click Here to Email skizzikmonger Send a private message to skizzikmonger Click to send skizzikmonger an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Bugger:
What does everyone think about the loss of enemy checklands post rotation? Will the hit in fixing do enough to discourage 3-color wedge decks like BUG or UWR? (I mean UWR'll be losing bonfire and Geist as well, so that archetypes collapse probs won't just be due to lands...)

I'm not so sure they won't reprint them in M14. If they don't reprint them, I don't think the enemy wedges will take too much of a hit because the decks will still be able to run 12 shocks and gates (not great but there if they're needed).

quote:
Originally posted by marlo213:
Why mizzium mortar? seems hard for it to go up with reckoners around

Dreadbore, Orzhov Charm, Abrupt Decay, whatever else they print between now and rotation. Mortars is also seeing play now with Reckoner legal, so why wouldn't its level of play at least stay the same once Bonfire rotates?

 
Pail42
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posted March 08, 2013 09:57 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Pail42 Send a private message to Pail42 Click to send Pail42 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Pail42's Have/Want ListView Pail42's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by skizzikmonger:
Mortars is also seeing play now with Reckoner legal, so why wouldn't its level of play at least stay the same once Bonfire rotates?

I think this will be key to Mizzium Mortars increasing in value. Bonfire of the Damned is the most equivalent card currently in standard and it's going to be leaving.

 
Zeckk
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posted March 08, 2013 10:39 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
@ the mortars comments - Looking at most of the playable creatures from RTR block so far, mortars takes care of nearly all of them, with only reckoner being a road bump for that spell. I would also keep an eye on supreme verdict for the same reasons. Marquee removal always ends up being decent value immediately after rotation.

 
marlo213
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posted March 08, 2013 12:39 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for marlo213 Send a private message to marlo213 Click to send marlo213 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View marlo213's Have/Want ListView marlo213's Have/Want List
Never thought about it like that, I tip my hat. I will pick up a playset or two myself.

Any thought on Jace, architect? I think he's terrible but a 4 mana blue planeswalker seems very cheap at 8 with over 1.5 yrs to go

 
Zeckk
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posted March 08, 2013 12:46 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by marlo213:
Never thought about it like that, I tip my hat. I will pick up a playset or two myself.

Any thought on Jace, architect? I think he's terrible but a 4 mana blue planeswalker seems very cheap at 8 with over 1.5 yrs to go


I've picked up a playset, but no more than that right now. Hellrider, Resto Angel, and Geist are the 2 big reasons why he isn't seeing play, but that Jund aggro deck could keep him from seeing play post-rotation as well.

 
marlo213
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posted March 08, 2013 02:45 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for marlo213 Send a private message to marlo213 Click to send marlo213 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View marlo213's Have/Want ListView marlo213's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
I've picked up a playset, but no more than that right now. Hellrider, Resto Angel, and Geist are the 2 big reasons why he isn't seeing play, but that Jund aggro deck could keep him from seeing play post-rotation as well.

Point taken, what do you think of the draco-genius? I have a set or two and I think he can easily double in price

 
2austin5
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posted March 08, 2013 02:52 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for 2austin5 Click Here to Email 2austin5 Send a private message to 2austin5 Click to send 2austin5 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View 2austin5's Have/Want ListView 2austin5's Have/Want List
Im torn on the new Niv. I like that he fits the bomb slot but there really isn't too much going on with red blue that would utilize him to his full extent. Im kind of on that same page with the new Gideon though and also Aurelia's fury. I feel like all these cards have potential but its just a matter of will they be used to their potential
 
marlo213
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posted March 09, 2013 07:14 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for marlo213 Send a private message to marlo213 Click to send marlo213 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View marlo213's Have/Want ListView marlo213's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by 2austin5:
Im torn on the new Niv. I like that he fits the bomb slot but there really isn't too much going on with red blue that would utilize him to his full extent. Im kind of on that same page with the new Gideon though and also Aurelia's fury. I feel like all these cards have potential but its just a matter of will they be used to their potential

I think Niv can easily be a 10 dollar card but they seriously need to print some better R/U cards to rivel not running white for sphinx revelation, so I am not so sure. But I think gideon is worse than vraska and aurelia's fury will be bulk soon.

There are two cards that I am seriously shocked that no one is playing, serra avenger and deadbridge goliath

 
stab107
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posted March 09, 2013 07:32 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for stab107 Click Here to Email stab107 Send a private message to stab107 Click to send stab107 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
I asked a question in the PFMS which seems along a similar vein as this one.

quote:
Originally posted by stab107:
Which cards currently in Standard are seeing play in Modern/Legacy/Vintage? Trying to decide which sealed boxes to buy and sit on.


Yaku gave me a starting list.

quote:
Originally posted by yakusoku:
Shocklands
Deathrite Shaman
Snapcaster Mage
Restoration Angel
Abrupt Decay
Liliana of the Veil
Geist of Saint Traft

I am looking for a bit more to help me decide, especially uncommons. Are Sphinx's Rev, Boros Reckoner or Domri Rade seeing any Eternal play? I am not involved in any metas outside my kitchen table EDH and limited. Thanks!

 
Vegas10
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posted March 09, 2013 07:39 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Vegas10 Click Here to Email Vegas10 Send a private message to Vegas10 Click to send Vegas10 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Vegas10's Have/Want ListView Vegas10's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by marlo213:
I think Niv can easily be a 10 dollar card but they seriously need to print some better R/U cards to rivel not running white for sphinx revelation, so I am not so sure. But I think gideon is worse than vraska and aurelia's fury will be bulk soon.

There are two cards that I am seriously shocked that no one is playing, serra avenger and deadbridge goliath


problem with avenger is against the fast aggro decks if it's in your opening hand you can't play it when you need it for the early onslaught for defense, and the agrro decks can already play creatures that get as big if not bigger than it by the time they can play it, the flying is nice but if I have to wait till turn 4 in white, I'd rather have restoration angel for an extra toughness and the ability to blink for value, I do like the Goliath and he has seen play in those B/G ooze decks that were around for a little while, so I think there is hope for him. See first time Avenger was around Standard was a slower format so she was more playable then.

 
Pail42
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posted March 09, 2013 07:44 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Pail42 Send a private message to Pail42 Click to send Pail42 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Pail42's Have/Want ListView Pail42's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by marlo213:
There are two cards that I am seriously shocked that no one is playing, serra avenger and deadbridge goliath

I'm also a little confused about the lack of deadbride luvin' but I think the reason people aren't terribly excited by Serra Avenger isn't played is because a 3/3 flyer on turn 4 isn't that exciting in a world with Vampire Nighthawk on turn three or a Grave Betrayal on turn 4. If Armageddon was still around Serra Avenger would probably be really expensive.

 
Link139232
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posted March 09, 2013 11:20 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Link139232 Click Here to Email Link139232 Send a private message to Link139232 Click to send Link139232 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Link139232's Have/Want ListView Link139232's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Pail42:
I'm also a little confused about the lack of deadbride luvin' but I think the reason people aren't terribly excited by Serra Avenger isn't played is because a 3/3 flyer on turn 4 isn't that exciting in a world with Vampire Nighthawk on turn three or a Grave Betrayal on turn 4. If Armageddon was still around Serra Avenger would probably be really expensive.

Grave Betrayal? I think you're mistaken

Domri Rade is seeing some modern play, but I disagree with Resto, I think that card is going to tank considerably.

 
marlo213
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posted March 09, 2013 02:32 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for marlo213 Send a private message to marlo213 Click to send marlo213 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View marlo213's Have/Want ListView marlo213's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Vegas10:
problem with avenger is against the fast aggro decks if it's in your opening hand you can't play it when you need it for the early onslaught for defense, and the agrro decks can already play creatures that get as big if not bigger than it by the time they can play it, the flying is nice but if I have to wait till turn 4 in white, I'd rather have restoration angel for an extra toughness and the ability to blink for value, I do like the Goliath and he has seen play in those B/G ooze decks that were around for a little while, so I think there is hope for him. See first time Avenger was around Standard was a slower format so she was more playable then.

quote:
Originally posted by Pail42:
I'm also a little confused about the lack of deadbride luvin' but I think the reason people aren't terribly excited by Serra Avenger isn't played is because a 3/3 flyer on turn 4 isn't that exciting in a world with Vampire Nighthawk on turn three or a Grave Betrayal on turn 4. If Armageddon was still around Serra Avenger would probably be really expensive.

Deadbridge is 5/5 for 4 and makes your topdeck mana dork not suck late game or makes random flyers huge too. I can see how serra avenger can be arkward but can't boros just drop 1 turn 4 and use removal with the other mana? And it's a much better topdeck later on as well, right?

What foils do you guys think will be big? I am debating whether to get a set of lilianas before they hit the 3 digits

 
Pail42
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posted March 09, 2013 02:34 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Pail42 Send a private message to Pail42 Click to send Pail42 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Pail42's Have/Want ListView Pail42's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Link139232:
Grave Betrayal? I think you're mistaken

Indeed, I meant Unburial Rites.

 
yakusoku
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posted March 09, 2013 04:04 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for yakusoku Click Here to Email yakusoku Send a private message to yakusoku Click to send yakusoku an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by stab107:

I am looking for a bit more to help me decide, especially uncommons. Are Sphinx's Rev, Boros Reckoner or Domri Rade seeing any Eternal play? I am not involved in any metas outside my kitchen table EDH and limited. Thanks!

Lingering Souls, Burning Tree Emissary, Ghor-Clan Rampager are seeing play outside of Standard.

Sphinx's Revelation is seeing minimal play in Modern, often as a 1-of in some UWr decks. Not nearly enough to keep its price high the way that UWx decks in Standard run 3 or 4. Domri Rade is also seeing minimal play in some very heavy creature decks, as a 2-of.

Older formats have such a bigger pool that it's hard for more than a few cards from any Standard set to have much of an impact. If you want to hold onto cards for value, you're much better off getting individual cards that will likely keep seeing play and hold their value for being a staple in Modern/Legacy, rather than boxes.

 
Zeckk
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posted March 09, 2013 06:00 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Link139232:
Grave Betrayal? I think you're mistaken

Domri Rade is seeing some modern play, but I disagree with Resto, I think that card is going to tank considerably.


It's possible that resto angel eats a heavy initial dip once it leaves standard, but it will climb back up by the next modern season. It's a staple in the UW control lists, as well as kiki-pod. I actually plan on spending most of august trying to hoard resto angels as people dump them for rotation.

 
stab107
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posted March 09, 2013 10:36 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for stab107 Click Here to Email stab107 Send a private message to stab107 Click to send stab107 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Whoops, mispost .

[Edited 1 times, lastly by stab107 on March 09, 2013]
 
stab107
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posted March 09, 2013 10:52 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for stab107 Click Here to Email stab107 Send a private message to stab107 Click to send stab107 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by yakusoku:
Lingering Souls, Burning Tree Emissary, Ghor-Clan Rampager are seeing play outside of Standard.

Sphinx's Revelation is seeing minimal play in Modern, often as a 1-of in some UWr decks. Not nearly enough to keep its price high the way that UWx decks in Standard run 3 or 4. Domri Rade is also seeing minimal play in some very heavy creature decks, as a 2-of.

Older formats have such a bigger pool that it's hard for more than a few cards from any Standard set to have much of an impact. If you want to hold onto cards for value, you're much better off getting individual cards that will likely keep seeing play and hold their value for being a staple in Modern/Legacy, rather than boxes.


Thanks for the follow up response, sir! I will keep an eye on these and see where they go.

 
daner
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posted March 10, 2013 09:04 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for daner Click Here to Email daner Send a private message to daner Click to send daner an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View daner's Have/Want ListView daner's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by marlo213:

Any thought on Jace, architect? I think he's terrible but a 4 mana blue planeswalker seems very cheap at 8 with over 1.5 yrs to go

He's not terrible, it's just that you can get cracked for 7 on turn 2 pretty resonably in standard right now. It's all about aggro, I think none of us can/will deny that.

With the next rotation Jace 4.0 see's all of it's arch-nemesis cards leave. Aristocrat, Thundermaw, GOST, Resto Angel...all gone! The cards that J4 couldn't deal with, and cards control rips their hair out over, will all be gone.

Add in annoying cards like Flinthoof Boar, Lightning Mauler, Zealous Conscripts, and Champion of the Parish as well...all gone. That a LOT of aggro I just named, I'm sure there is more, too.

Aggro has made it supressive to run a good control list, let alone any planeswalker w cmc greater than 3. There is no telling what the format will do, but if it slows down just a bit for control to fully catchup, I'd expect a big resurgence from J4, and Gideon 2.0.

If you remember, the first big tourny with RTR legal was taken down by a U/W control list almost spearheaded with 4xJ4. If that happens again your $8 investment will quadruple overnight.

But like I just said....there is no telling what the format will do, we have to wait and see what comes in the next few sets. If the format slows down though...jump on these powerful walkers when they are cheap.

Outside of standard, I haven't looked if/when they are doing a RTR Block format....but U/W control is pretty powerful, and J4 will jump a bit even for that, bc if you've noticed my "problem" cards for J4 they are mostly not from RTR block. Though you still have cards like Boros Charm, but other than that there isn't a great amount of ways to take down J4 in RTR.

 
Bugger
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posted March 10, 2013 10:38 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Bugger Click Here to Email Bugger Send a private message to Bugger Click to send Bugger an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Holy crap, jace is only 8 bucks?!

What's his play like in modern? All those aggro cards stick around, sure, but is he on the verge of seeing play or just waaaaaay out of consideration

I'm frustratingly between jobs at the minute and my belt has never been tighter but if jace is only 32 a playset I'm strongly tempted to jump on that.

 
Zeckk
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posted March 10, 2013 08:28 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
Jace is still a solid bet, just not outside of standard. A few of the current aggro decks are making a port into modern, specifically the experiment one + burning tree package. Aggro is less of a concern for Jace than combo, specifically eggs, twin, pod, and gifts. I can't see myself ever wanting to throw down jace without already having the opposing deck under control, which puts jace into the win-more territory. I would rather just play gifts combo in my control deck, or use thirst for knowledge as my CA engine.
 
Kwas
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posted March 11, 2013 02:34 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Kwas Click Here to Email Kwas Send a private message to Kwas Click to send Kwas an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Kwas's Have/Want ListView Kwas's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Bugger:
Holy crap, jace is only 8 bucks?!

What's his play like in modern? All those aggro cards stick around, sure, but is he on the verge of seeing play or just waaaaaay out of consideration

I'm frustratingly between jobs at the minute and my belt has never been tighter but if jace is only 32 a playset I'm strongly tempted to jump on that.



Jace sees NO play outside of standard, where he even see very little play.
 
TheCottonRapster
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posted March 20, 2013 04:30 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for TheCottonRapster Send a private message to TheCottonRapster Click to send TheCottonRapster an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Cards I've been picking up for the past week:

1. Lotleth Troll: He's really low now, @ 1.75 on tcg low. I think he'll get to $5+ when ISD rotates out, maybe even more.

2. Vizkopa Confessor: Foil and foreign copies of this card will be worth quite a bit soon, especially if more players start picking up the Martyr of Sands combo.

3. Boros Charm: Amazing... Especially the foil versions which are ~$10.

4. Aurelia, the Warleader: Incredibly low right now @ $8 on tcg low.

EDIT: guildmage not confessor... sorry...

[Edited 1 times, lastly by TheCottonRapster on March 21, 2013]

 

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