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Author Topic:   Price guide?
iliketrain
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posted May 29, 2015 07:35 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for iliketrain Click Here to Email iliketrain Send a private message to iliketrain Click to send iliketrain an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Hey guys, have been away from magic for a few years, thinking about making a comeback trading online cuz it was pretty fun, now what price guide are people using now days? I notice the site price guide has not been updated since 2013, do people still use Apathy house? or just TCG?
 
hilikuS
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posted May 29, 2015 08:16 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for hilikuS Click Here to Email hilikuS Send a private message to hilikuS Click to send hilikuS an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View hilikuS's Trade Auction or SaleView hilikuS's Trade Auction or Sale
I use TCG, but ebay completed works too.
 
Tim05
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posted May 29, 2015 08:28 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Tim05 Click Here to Email Tim05 Send a private message to Tim05 Click to send Tim05 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Tim05's Have/Want ListView Tim05's Have/Want List
TCG Mid is the most commonly used price reference around here in my experience.

Some prefer Starcity, or Ebay on bigger items.

 
mm1983
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posted May 29, 2015 09:08 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for mm1983 Click Here to Email mm1983 Send a private message to mm1983 Click to send mm1983 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View mm1983's Have/Want ListView mm1983's Have/Want List
Tcg and star city are most commonly used but some still use apathy house. Star city tends to be the highest most times .
 
jamestosetti
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posted May 31, 2015 02:52 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for jamestosetti Click Here to Email jamestosetti Send a private message to jamestosetti Click to send jamestosetti an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View jamestosetti's Have/Want ListView jamestosetti's Have/Want List
I was asking around about the usage of the TCG mid price the other day. I assume people are referring to the median price. I find this to be rather inaccurate to say the least. Its like eliminating grading categories and lumping card conditions into one. Its like trading cards like some buy hats (one size fits all). The median price is the mid price of every card available regardless of condition, so it carries no real weight.
 
majicman
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posted June 01, 2015 01:04 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for majicman Click Here to Email majicman Send a private message to majicman Click to send majicman an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by jamestosetti:
I was asking around about the usage of the TCG mid price the other day. I assume people are referring to the median price. I find this to be rather inaccurate to say the least. Its like eliminating grading categories and lumping card conditions into one. Its like trading cards like some buy hats (one size fits all). The median price is the mid price of every card available regardless of condition, so it carries no real weight.


I concur. Most people don't take that into consideration.

I would always look at condition first of cards and then take into account what is available on TCG in that condition, before anyone does trading.


 
hilikuS
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posted June 01, 2015 01:13 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for hilikuS Click Here to Email hilikuS Send a private message to hilikuS Click to send hilikuS an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View hilikuS's Trade Auction or SaleView hilikuS's Trade Auction or Sale
quote:
Originally posted by jamestosetti:
I was asking around about the usage of the TCG mid price the other day. I assume people are referring to the median price. I find this to be rather inaccurate to say the least. Its like eliminating grading categories and lumping card conditions into one. Its like trading cards like some buy hats (one size fits all). The median price is the mid price of every card available regardless of condition, so it carries no real weight.

TCG Median price only takes into consideration NM or LP cards. So the program finds the number in the middle, or closest to the middle to report, and excludes MP or worse cards. It is not an average.


[Edited 1 times, lastly by hilikuS on June 01, 2015]

 
dfitzg88
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posted June 01, 2015 08:21 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for dfitzg88 Click Here to Email dfitzg88 Send a private message to dfitzg88 Click to send dfitzg88 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
The idea of TCG Mid generally holds up very well for cards of similar values (a bunch of cards on both sides each in the same price range)

Where it fails is during trade ups / trade downs or for comparing new / old cards.

 
jamestosetti
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posted June 02, 2015 06:32 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for jamestosetti Click Here to Email jamestosetti Send a private message to jamestosetti Click to send jamestosetti an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View jamestosetti's Have/Want ListView jamestosetti's Have/Want List
Are these median prices for cards that have been sold, or are for sale? If these prices are for cards that are for sale I would find them less useful, but they would be important for identifying trends which is useful for various reasons.
 
hilikuS
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posted June 02, 2015 07:25 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for hilikuS Click Here to Email hilikuS Send a private message to hilikuS Click to send hilikuS an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View hilikuS's Trade Auction or SaleView hilikuS's Trade Auction or Sale
quote:
Originally posted by jamestosetti:
Are these median prices for cards that have been sold, or are for sale? If these prices are for cards that are for sale I would find them less useful, but they would be important for identifying trends which is useful for various reasons.

They are for cards that are up for sale. It doesn't take into account sold listings. As far as I know, there is only one thing that records sold listings on TCG. On the seller account you can see the price that something was last sold at, but only the price for the very last item sold.

 
Cryptonight
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posted June 03, 2015 11:52 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Cryptonight Send a private message to Cryptonight Click to send Cryptonight an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
I think prices are highly arbitrary, volatile, in constant flux, and vary between sources.

I find TCG is fairly inaccurate, because by my assumption, it seems to compile an average based on the ones for sale through their website. I can't tell if it is explicitly stated anywhere that it only accounts NM and LP condition cards (source?), but all I found was this:
https://help.tcgplayer.com/hc/en-us/articles/202512528-TCGplayer-Pricing-Data

You have to take a number of things into consideration, like how many are actually being sold close to the medium price line, and how much those sellers charge for shipping. If you live in Canada, for example, most sellers (U.S.-located) charge exorbitant shipping costs, because they won't ship internationally without tracking, or for whatever other reason(s). Can you only get 1 copy from each of 4 different sellers at a certain price, while every other seller who have any in stock list them for at least double that price?

In general, SCG prices are pretty solid, because they're huge, reliable, and actually have the stock to back it up. Remember, that just because a card is listed at $2 on SCG, it doesn't mean that's the price, if they have 0 in stock, while everyone else is selling it at $4 minimum. It's things like this that you have to check for.

As far as ebay, it's just plain crazy, and some people list auctions that last 1 day. With the tens of thousands of different Magic cards out there, plus the hundreds of thousands of MtG items up on ebay any given day, it's easy for cards to slip by unnoticed and close for dirt cheap; so completed listings aren't exactly accurate either. What price can you actually obtain a card for, factoring shipping, and outbidding other bidders? Clicking the tab "Buy it Now" in your search results (whether in current, or completed listings) gives you more realistic results.

It also all depends why you need prices to begin with.

If you just want a guide by which to conduct trades, SCG seems universally accepted, but check the quantities available, and consider how much you personally value cards over others.

Best of luck.


[Edited 1 times, lastly by Cryptonight on June 04, 2015]

 
hilikuS
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posted June 05, 2015 01:30 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for hilikuS Click Here to Email hilikuS Send a private message to hilikuS Click to send hilikuS an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View hilikuS's Trade Auction or SaleView hilikuS's Trade Auction or Sale
quote:
Originally posted by Cryptonight:

I find TCG is fairly inaccurate, because by my assumption, it seems to compile an average based on the ones for sale through their website. I can't tell if it is explicitly stated anywhere that it only accounts NM and LP condition cards (source?), but all I found was this:
https://help.tcgplayer.com/hc/en-us/articles/202512528-TCGplayer-Pricing-Data


It even says in the article you posted that they do not use the average. They use the median. The reason they don't use the average is very simple. If they did, a seller could easily manipulate that by listing cards at stupid prices to raise the average. They cannot easily do this to raise the median.

Awhile back there was faux price spike on TCG for Bosium Strip. MTG Stocks listed it as spiked by like 100-200% and the price was something like $4-5. I can't remember the major details, but basically what had happened was all of the NM or LP cards were sold out except for a few. They were in the price range listed on Stocks, and TCG Mid showed that price as well.

There were at least 2 dozen copies of the card at MP, HP or Damaged that were much lower (between $1-2 or so), but they did not factor into the median price.

I know a couple of guys who work for TCG, so next time I talk with one of them I will confirm this with real people facts.

[Edited 2 times, lastly by hilikuS on June 05, 2015]

 
Cryptonight
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posted June 18, 2015 01:50 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Cryptonight Send a private message to Cryptonight Click to send Cryptonight an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by It even says in the article you posted that they do not use the average. They use the median. The reason they don't use the average is very simple. If they did, a seller could easily manipulate that by listing cards at stupid prices to raise the average. They cannot easily do this to raise the median.:
[b][/b]

Ah - thanks. I had misunderstood what they meant exactly, because they added: "median ... *and* (does that mean combined, or separately?) a Market Price that is determined by the recent selling prices of a given card."

If MP, HP, and Damaged cards mostly just sit there, it would make sense that they don't significantly impact the Median price, according to what they say.

Still I find it a little nebulous, and it would be interesting to know how it is precisely calculated. Keep us posted if you get the inside scoop.

 
Tim05
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posted June 18, 2015 02:14 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Tim05 Click Here to Email Tim05 Send a private message to Tim05 Click to send Tim05 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Tim05's Have/Want ListView Tim05's Have/Want List
I don't think there is a one size fits all price guide. I prefer TCG Mid for most things when a trade is card-for-card. As long as you're using the same price guide as the other person, it's usually going to be easy in card-for-card.

However, if you're looking to sell for cash, you're not going to be able to sell at SCG prices here. They are overpriced on most things.

Normally I'm fine using SCG to determine card-for-card trading, except in situations where bulk rares and UC/C are being traded, as SG will way overvalue all these cards.

Just my opinion, but I wouldn't get bent out of shape about which website to use for pricing.

 
Pail42
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posted June 18, 2015 05:26 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Pail42 Send a private message to Pail42 Click to send Pail42 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Cryptonight:
Ah - thanks. I had misunderstood what they meant exactly, because they added: "median ... *and* (does that mean combined, or separately?) a Market Price that is determined by the recent selling prices of a given card."

That sure sounds like [X% * median list price] + [(100-X)% * median recently sold]

 

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