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Author Topic:   Ya'lll Jace Crazy!
mcelraca
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posted October 16, 2012 09:00 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for mcelraca Click Here to Email mcelraca Send a private message to mcelraca Click to send mcelraca an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View mcelraca's Have/Want ListView mcelraca's Have/Want List
See, I enjoy the arguing I just don't like when people get overly excited and rude.


Now, saying that. I wanted to bring up another point that I haven't really researched much, but wanted to throw out there.

Let's say Jace AoT is going to be a key player in standard and modern. Even then 50$ is steep. If we look at some of the other good cards that see play we've got

Tarmogoyf: high 80s
Dark Confidant: Mid 30s
Vendilion Clique: 30
Thoughtseize: 30

all of which are modern legal. All of these cards are also played in legacy. My point being that for a card to remain high in price is has to span the formats and I just don't seeing Jace AoT doing this.

You may say, well he does have two years in standard. Agreed, but then we can just go back to the whole overhype/planeswalker argument. Most cards, even if they are very good are severely inflated for a period after release.

I believe Tamiyo was 50 when she came out and for the following month or so.
I watched a man at my local store pay 25 for tibalt on release day (tibalt is awful but still maintained the 20 price for a while after release)

Jace is a different animal in the sense that he is good, but...

well I think I've said my peace for the night.

PS. I think most people have been quarreling actual current price but checking completed auctions on ebay, it does seem to be pretty easy to snag one for about 35 with shipping.

 
Lord Crovax
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posted October 16, 2012 09:16 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Lord Crovax Click Here to Email Lord Crovax Send a private message to Lord Crovax Click to send Lord Crovax an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Problem with the examples you made, they all predate Mythics...

Mythics seem to hold a higher price just BY being a mythic...odd but true, least when they are playable.

__________________
I shall have the souls of all who defy me. "Lord Crovax"

 
Zeckk
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posted October 16, 2012 10:25 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Lord Crovax:
Problem with the examples you made, they all predate Mythics...

Mythics seem to hold a higher price just BY being a mythic...odd but true, least when they are playable.


This is all beside the point. I disagree with Coolio's notion that the control decks are even capable of optimizing against the field. Control still has issues against zombies, but zombies is getting hammered by the sheer volume of centaur healer/thragtusk decks, which is what the jace decks prey on.

We should know by now that it only takes 1 or 2 effective hoser cards to drop the playability of any given card. If something comes along in gatecrasher with an effect similar to gaddock teeg, or more hexproof playables turn up, then control gets put in a tight spot.

 
Lord Crovax
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posted October 16, 2012 10:30 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Lord Crovax Click Here to Email Lord Crovax Send a private message to Lord Crovax Click to send Lord Crovax an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
This is all beside the point. I disagree with Coolio's notion that the control decks are even capable of optimizing against the field. Control still has issues against zombies, but zombies is getting hammered by the sheer volume of centaur healer/thragtusk decks, which is what the jace decks prey on.

We should know by now that it only takes 1 or 2 effective hoser cards to drop the playability of any given card. If something comes along in gatecrasher with an effect similar to gaddock teeg, or more hexproof playables turn up, then control gets put in a tight spot.


from what I can tell zombies has problems with control....

Terminus, O-Ring, Detention Sphere, Thragusk (If Green), Pillar of Flame (If Red), etc...

__________________
I shall have the souls of all who defy me. "Lord Crovax"

 
skizzikmonger
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posted October 17, 2012 05:08 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for skizzikmonger Click Here to Email skizzikmonger Send a private message to skizzikmonger Click to send skizzikmonger an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Lord Crovax:
from what I can tell zombies has problems with control....

Terminus, O-Ring, Detention Sphere, Thragusk (If Green), Pillar of Flame (If Red), etc...


From my experience, Zombies has trouble with Jund Midrange too.

 
Zeckk
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posted October 17, 2012 07:02 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
Lifegain on bodies is more of a problem for zombies than a non-miracle terminus or detention spheres, which is entirely why control is even having success. If midrange didn't have to maindeck centaur healers and pillar of flame, control would have a lot more pressure maindeck. That goes back to the point earlier about jaces price - he's an archetype staple, not a format staple. Thragtusk at 20? I can unsderstand that, since he's showing up across multiple archetypes. Jace isn't really viable outside of control - he's not a win condition or control-killer the way JTMS was in next level bant.
 
skizzikmonger
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posted October 17, 2012 08:26 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for skizzikmonger Click Here to Email skizzikmonger Send a private message to skizzikmonger Click to send skizzikmonger an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
Lifegain on bodies is more of a problem for zombies than a non-miracle terminus or detention spheres, which is entirely why control is even having success. If midrange didn't have to maindeck centaur healers and pillar of flame, control would have a lot more pressure maindeck. That goes back to the point earlier about jaces price - he's an archetype staple, not a format staple. Thragtusk at 20? I can unsderstand that, since he's showing up across multiple archetypes. Jace isn't really viable outside of control - he's not a win condition or control-killer the way JTMS was in next level bant.

I don't disagree with most of what you said. The card advantage Jace provides makes it a good choice for a Uxx midrange deck, which we won't see until Gatecrash (at least not any good ones anyway). I plan on using him in BUG Midrange or control once I can use Breeding Pool and Watery Grave.

[Edited 1 times, lastly by skizzikmonger on October 17, 2012]

 
GenghisTom
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posted October 17, 2012 12:53 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for GenghisTom Click Here to Email GenghisTom Send a private message to GenghisTom Click to send GenghisTom an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Am I missing something?

[url=http://www.ebay.com/itm/Jace-Architect-of-Thought-x4-CHEAP-/271080674223?pt=Trading_Card_Games_US&hash=item3f1daad3af&nma=true&si=fWnVUsbqRIWGSCAJA2cjO9ea%2Btw%3D&orig_cvip=tr ue&rt=nc&_trksid=p2047675.l2557]Jace x4 on Ebay[/url]

 
Lord Crovax
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posted October 17, 2012 01:54 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Lord Crovax Click Here to Email Lord Crovax Send a private message to Lord Crovax Click to send Lord Crovax an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by GenghisTom:
Am I missing something?

[url=http://www.ebay.com/itm/Jace-Architect-of-Thought-x4-CHEAP-/271080674223?pt=Trading_Card_Games_US&hash=item3f1daad3af&nma=true&si=fWnVUsbqRIWGSCAJA2cjO9ea%2Btw%3D&orig_cvip=tr ue&rt=nc&_trksid=p2047675.l2557]Jace x4 on Ebay[/url]


People artificially bidding it up...

__________________
I shall have the souls of all who defy me. "Lord Crovax"

 
xaretnapx
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posted October 17, 2012 02:00 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for xaretnapx Click Here to Email xaretnapx Send a private message to xaretnapx Click to send xaretnapx an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View xaretnapx's Have/Want ListView xaretnapx's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Lord Crovax:
People artificially bidding it up...


But why? If you go look at the bid history you can see where some low feedback person is bidding stupid numbers. But ultimately doesn't someone have to still pay that $406? So what could possibly be the purpose to artificially bid it this much?

 
Lord Crovax
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posted October 17, 2012 02:08 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Lord Crovax Click Here to Email Lord Crovax Send a private message to Lord Crovax Click to send Lord Crovax an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by xaretnapx:
But why? If you go look at the bid history you can see where some low feedback person is bidding stupid numbers. But ultimately doesn't someone have to still pay that $406? So what could possibly be the purpose to artificially bid it this much?

Make it so the auction doesn't sell...

__________________
I shall have the souls of all who defy me. "Lord Crovax"

 
daner
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posted October 17, 2012 02:48 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for daner Click Here to Email daner Send a private message to daner Click to send daner an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View daner's Have/Want ListView daner's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
Lifegain on bodies is more of a problem for zombies than a non-miracle terminus or detention spheres, which is entirely why control is even having success. If midrange didn't have to maindeck centaur healers and pillar of flame, control would have a lot more pressure maindeck. That goes back to the point earlier about jaces price - he's an archetype staple, not a format staple. Thragtusk at 20? I can unsderstand that, since he's showing up across multiple archetypes. Jace isn't really viable outside of control - he's not a win condition or control-killer the way JTMS was in next level bant.

1.Zombies has problems with a few decks...and this is why I prefer B/R Zombies over B/G. B/R gives you outs game 1, and reach with Aristocrat, Bump, Spear, and Brimstone Volley. Then SB options with Slaughter Games to turn off Thragtusks, and Dreadbore to hit planeswalkers. G/B has no game...but G/B is better equipped(from what I've been told) to beat R/B zombies 0_o ... strange, I know.

I personally think with Gatecrash and the addition of Watery Grave your going to get a Grixis Zombies list, because the Zombie Captain from DA seems nuts with Blood Artist and Aristocrat. It's also just good by itself, as it lets all of your dorks trade 1-1.

2.Back to Jace.....I disagree. It's a format staple. It's the only true blue draw engine in the format, and it's a good one at that. There is already talks about bant control/midrange decks that use the best two cards in the format...Jace, and Thragtusk. The format is early, and the only thing I can promise you is...nobody has put together a truly brilliant deck that is heads above the rest. The nice thing is, I really can't see one either. This looks like a VERY balanced format. I just wouldn't dismiss Jace so easily. It's the best card in Ravnica, it's the one of the best in standard....I'm not alone in this boat. Many pros share this same train of thought. Do a bunch of nobodys on a meeasge board think they figured out Jace is bad and will tank before the pros? I HIGHLY doubt that.

Is Jace worth $50? Maybe....possibly. Is it worth $35-40, certainly. Will it drop to below $20-25? Highly doubtful.

Why don't I go and buy out MOTL @ $35?......bc I own 6 already and I'm probably going to own a lot more once redemption on MODO hits because that's how I normally get all my playsets of cards...from drafting and redeeming, yet somehow I already have a TON of this stuff from drafting like crazy IRL and making good trades.

Still...I might start buying these @ $35, you never know. This card has staying power, and for those hoping to get them cheaper...well, I can honestly say I think you all missed the Jace boat again.

[Edited 1 times, lastly by daner on October 17, 2012]

 
Lord Crovax
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posted October 17, 2012 03:03 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Lord Crovax Click Here to Email Lord Crovax Send a private message to Lord Crovax Click to send Lord Crovax an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by daner:
1.Zombies has problems with a few decks...and this is why I prefer B/R Zombies over B/G. B/R gives you outs game 1, and reach with Aristocrat, Bump, Spear, and Brimstone Volley. Then SB options with Slaughter Games to turn off Thragtusks, and Dreadbore to hit planeswalkers. G/B has no game...but G/B is better equipped(from what I've been told) to beat R/B zombies 0_o ... strange, I know.

I personally think with Gatecrash and the addition of Watery Grave your going to get a Grixis Zombies list, because the Zombie Captain from DA seems nuts with Blood Artist and Aristocrat. It's also just good by itself, as it lets all of your dorks trade 1-1.

2.Back to Jace.....I disagree. It's a format staple. It's the only true blue draw engine in the format, and it's a good one at that. There is already talks about bant control/midrange decks that use the best two cards in the format...Jace, and Thragtusk. The format is early, and the only thing I can promise you is...nobody has put together a truly brilliant deck that is heads above the rest. The nice thing is, I really can't see one either. This looks like a VERY balanced format. I just wouldn't dismiss Jace so easily. It's the best card in Ravnica, it's the one of the best in standard....I'm not alone in this boat. Many pros share this same train of thought. Do a bunch of nobodys on a meeasge board think they figured out Jace is bad and will tank before the pros? I HIGHLY doubt that.

Is Jace worth $50? Maybe....possibly. Is it worth $35-40, certainly. Will it drop to below $20-25? Highly doubtful.

Why don't I go and buy out MOTL @ $35?......bc I own 6 already and I'm probably going to own a lot more once redemption on MODO hits because that's how I normally get all my playsets of cards...from drafting and redeeming, yet somehow I already have a TON of this stuff from drafting like crazy IRL and making good trades.

Still...I might start buying these @ $35, you never know. This card has staying power, and for those hoping to get them cheaper...well, I can honestly say I think you all missed the Jace boat again.


So much of this..

__________________
I shall have the souls of all who defy me. "Lord Crovax"

 
BLAZEKoneK
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posted October 17, 2012 04:21 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for BLAZEKoneK Click Here to Email BLAZEKoneK Send a private message to BLAZEKoneK Click to send BLAZEKoneK an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
I can see Jace hitting $70 and I guarantee you that if SCG lists him at 70 - they will still sell out. They had 18 at 49.99 yesterday - they are sold out now lol - think again if you think that magic players dont like playing control!!
 
Zeckk
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posted October 17, 2012 06:58 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
There's already a jace + thrag deck. Its called bant control, and I suggest you start looking at SCG Open results. Its a good deck, but its hardly unbeatable, and jund midrange actually spanks that deck if it starts maindecking rakdos return.

You have no idea what a format staple is. Angel of serenity and thragtusk are the easiest examples, since they are cornerstone cards in reanimator, control, and midrange strats (arguable for angel, but the GW lists are running 1 or 2). Jace is simply part of a package involving tamiyo and terminus. What this means for his price is that demand is actually more limited than for something like thragtusk or angel of serenity, which makes his current price level absurd. You can already see his price starting to decline on eBay a bit, once you eliminate the false bid crap.

 
gaeacradle
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posted October 17, 2012 08:16 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for gaeacradle Click Here to Email gaeacradle Send a private message to gaeacradle Click to send gaeacradle an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View gaeacradle's Have/Want ListView gaeacradle's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
There's already a jace + thrag deck. Its called bant control, and I suggest you start looking at SCG Open results. Its a good deck, but its hardly unbeatable, and jund midrange actually spanks that deck if it starts maindecking rakdos return.

I can confirm this. Jund Midrange just totally dominate Bant Control.

 
daner
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posted October 18, 2012 01:24 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for daner Click Here to Email daner Send a private message to daner Click to send daner an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View daner's Have/Want ListView daner's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
You have no idea what a format staple is.

And you do? I'm just going to go back to my argument and side with all the pros who have commented on the power of this card.

...but from your standpoint they are all wrong, right?

quote:
Originally posted by gaeacradle:
I can confirm this. Jund Midrange just totally dominate Bant Control.

...and G/B Zombies can stomp Jund-Midrange into the earth....your point? Did nobody read where I said this is a new wide open format with no deck seriously heads above the field?

[Edited 1 times, lastly by daner on October 18, 2012]

 
Zeckk
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posted October 18, 2012 07:50 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by daner:
And you do? I'm just going to go back to my argument and side with all the pros who have commented on the power of this card.

...but from your standpoint they are all wrong, right?


Is English not your first language? I said jace is an archetype.staple, but not a format staple. He's a good card for control, no more, no less. That's also what the pros have been saying. I literally have no idea why you posted, implying that the pros are saying otherwise.

 
daner
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posted October 18, 2012 01:03 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for daner Click Here to Email daner Send a private message to daner Click to send daner an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View daner's Have/Want ListView daner's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
Is English not your first language? I said jace is an archetype.staple, but not a format staple. He's a good card for control, no more, no less. That's also what the pros have been saying. I literally have no idea why you posted, implying that the pros are saying otherwise.

"the three best cards in the format: Thragtusk, Restoration Angel, and Jace, Architect of Thought" ~ Patrick Chapin

I can give you more examples....but I'm done arguing with you. You are obviously smarter than HOF Patrick Chapin.

 
walkerdog
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posted October 18, 2012 03:26 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for walkerdog Click Here to Email walkerdog Send a private message to walkerdog Click to send walkerdog an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View walkerdog's Have/Want ListView walkerdog's Have/Want List
For the sake of argument, he could be an archetype staple (u-using control decks) without being a format staple if U-based decks were weak enough or a small chunk of the population. I don't think they are or will be, but it could be that way even as one of the best 3 cards in the format.
 
oneofchaos
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posted October 18, 2012 05:06 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for oneofchaos Click Here to Email oneofchaos Send a private message to oneofchaos Click to send oneofchaos an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
I feel like this degenerated into the strictly better argument...what does it matter? Play the cards you want to play and if they are format defining, congrats for you, you certainly weren't the first!
 
walkerdog
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posted October 18, 2012 07:57 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for walkerdog Click Here to Email walkerdog Send a private message to walkerdog Click to send walkerdog an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View walkerdog's Have/Want ListView walkerdog's Have/Want List
That's kind of the key point in whether Jace holds/rises in value or drops in value; if he's just an amazingly powerful card in a niche, small part of the format deck, then he will drop down in price; if U-based control is a strong, lasting, big part of the meta? Jace might be 40+ until he rotates out.
 
Lord Crovax
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posted October 18, 2012 08:06 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Lord Crovax Click Here to Email Lord Crovax Send a private message to Lord Crovax Click to send Lord Crovax an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Key Point is either he is a Niche card for control or a staple in anything playing blue.

So far evidence is leaning towards the latter, which will explain his price.

__________________
I shall have the souls of all who defy me. "Lord Crovax"

 
Zeckk
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posted October 18, 2012 11:31 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Lord Crovax:
Key Point is either he is a Niche card for control or a staple in anything playing blue.

So far evidence is leaning towards the latter, which will explain his price.


I don't see jace making delver viable. In fact, jace just isn't seeing play outside of blue control. If he was worth playing in UW humans, I could see the 40 price tag being justified, but as I've said more than a few times, he's just a control card that potentially has modern applications. That's also explaining why he's down to 32 a pop on eBay. Wouldn't be surprised at all to see him at 25-27 on eBay by the time gatecrash rolls around.

 
mm1983
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posted October 19, 2012 04:47 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for mm1983 Click Here to Email mm1983 Send a private message to mm1983 Click to send mm1983 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View mm1983's Have/Want ListView mm1983's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:

I don't see jace making delver viable. In fact, jace just isn't seeing play outside of blue control. If he was worth playing in UW humans, I could see the 40 price tag being justified, but as I've said more than a few times, he's just a control card that potentially has modern applications. That's also explaining why he's down to 32 a pop on eBay. Wouldn't be surprised at all to see him at 25-27 on eBay by the time gatecrash rolls around.

U/G or U/B in Gatecrash could give Jace AOT higher potential too. I pulled none of these out of my case but I pulled all Vraskas instead. With exception to Jace TMS and Elspeth, Knight Errant planeswalkers never hold a high value once they have been out a few months.

 

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