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Author Topic:   Jace aot
ardeay
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posted December 15, 2012 11:38 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for ardeay Send a private message to ardeay Click to send ardeay an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View ardeay's Have/Want ListView ardeay's Have/Want List
I posted a while back about how this guy was over priced, I caught a lot of flak for it. Now you can pick him up for a third of his original price, people are offering $13 for him in the buy forums. Man im happy I traded all mine away at $50.

Remember that 2 snapcasters for 1 jace aot deal that you told me was bad?

Do we got nuts and stock up? or do we laugh it off?

Cheers

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jaromirjagr
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posted December 15, 2012 12:28 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for jaromirjagr Click Here to Email jaromirjagr Send a private message to jaromirjagr Click to send jaromirjagr an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
is this a brag thread?This doesnt need its own thread.Post for magic stuff.
 
choco man
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posted December 15, 2012 12:31 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for choco man Click Here to Email choco man Send a private message to choco man Click to send choco man an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View choco man's Have/Want ListView choco man's Have/Want List
It really depends on who you're listening to. Some people on the forums are a lot better judges of value and/or trends in value than others.

I mean, zeckk called me stupid and said that Scavenging Ooze was taking over for Tarmogoyf in the formats. But Delver is still using Goyf and spent the summer making a lot of T8's in that configuration.

At the end of the day, no one is going to be able to tell you the future for certain. If you have an instinct, go for it. You're responsible for whatever you do no matter what anyone says in the forums.

You also have to remember that a lot of people made money off of Jace being undervalued (@ his pre-sale price). If you didn't get by that point, there was no point in going in.

 
junichi
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posted December 15, 2012 02:38 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for junichi Click Here to Email junichi Send a private message to junichi Click to send junichi an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View junichi's Have/Want ListView junichi's Have/Want List
We need a "Post for E-peen volume 1".

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Zeckk
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posted December 15, 2012 04:19 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
This thread, I assume? http://classic.magictraders.com/ubb/Forum1/HTML/025635.html

I don't recall scavenging ooze ever coming up in that thread, so choco can chill out Though Deathrite shaman definitely pushed another "goyf over ooze" deck back into the top tier i.e. BUG/Team America.

But yeah, daner was pretty hard on Chapin's nuts about Jace, which looks pretty silly in retrospect.

 
thror
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posted December 15, 2012 04:27 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for thror Send a private message to thror Click to send thror an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View thror's Trade Auction or SaleView thror's Trade Auction or Sale
No, he means this thread http://classic.magictraders.com/ubb/Forum13/HTML/027468.html

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nderdog
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posted December 15, 2012 04:28 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for nderdog Click Here to Email nderdog Send a private message to nderdog Click to send nderdog an Instant MessageVisit nderdog's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View nderdog's Have/Want ListView nderdog's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by junichi:
We need a "Post for E-peen volume 1".


That's called MTG Sally, I believe.

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Zeckk
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posted December 15, 2012 04:44 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by thror:
No, he means this thread http://classic.magictraders.com/ubb/Forum13/HTML/027468.html



Mmmm I was definitely a little aggressive in that one. The point itself is moot now, considering that Deathrite wasn't a consideration back in June.

 
marvinc023
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posted December 15, 2012 08:42 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for marvinc023 Click Here to Email marvinc023 Send a private message to marvinc023 Click to send marvinc023 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View marvinc023's Have/Want ListView marvinc023's Have/Want List
I think he's a good buy now at $13 or the $17-18 in trade. I've picked up a few more and hoping with Gatecrash he may hit the $30 mark again.

I mean I remember how many people wanted to trade for my Thunderma's at $15 when he went low but I had a feeling he would go back up and look at him now...

At the end of the day sub 20 JAOT is a good pick-up imho.

 
daner
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posted December 15, 2012 11:00 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for daner Click Here to Email daner Send a private message to daner Click to send daner an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View daner's Have/Want ListView daner's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
This thread, I assume? http://classic.magictraders.com/ubb/Forum1/HTML/025635.html

I don't recall scavenging ooze ever coming up in that thread, so choco can chill out Though Deathrite shaman definitely pushed another "goyf over ooze" deck back into the top tier i.e. BUG/Team America.

But yeah, daner was pretty hard on Chapin's nuts about Jace, which looks pretty silly in retrospect.


You just bring my name up to start a fight? Or do you have something insightful to say?

I still stand by my thoughts on it's the best pw in Standard, and it's the best pw since Jace 2.0....right now the meta has shifted far away from pw's in general.

It's almost the end of December and nobody knows what the best deck is....

I think Jace, AOT is at a all time low. It's a great buy @ $13 and good trade @ $17-18.

Gatecrash could very easily throw U/B contol back into the mix, or Esper Control. Or BUG control.

Not to mention we still have Block constructed...dunno if you've played any block yet, but I can tell you right now Jace is a house.

Nice of you to try and throw someone else under the bus instead of taking it like a man all by yourself tho....

 
Zeckk
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posted December 16, 2012 04:51 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
No one outside of MTGO is playing block, because block isn't a PT format this year. And Puffing up your chest doesn't change that fact that you were wildly incorrect about Jace's price path in addition to his playability in the format. As was stated in that thread multiple times, he's a niche card for control decks to use against other control decks. It's actually going to take quite a bit to get Jace outside of that role right now, considering the sheer number of plays that make jace a 4-mana divination.
 
caquaa
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posted December 16, 2012 06:17 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for caquaa Click Here to Email caquaa Send a private message to caquaa Click to send caquaa an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View caquaa's Trade Auction or SaleView caquaa's Trade Auction or Sale
whos cares what hes worth right now. When jace was $50 and snaps were $15, I certianly would have did 2 snaps for a jace. I'd have flipped that jace within days too. If you sit on cards for value I'm not sure how to tell you, but your strategy is flawed. If you keep cards for playing with, then it doesn't matter. If jace is $100 or $10, you're not selling it so it doesn't have any real value.

I had a foil delver deck I played right up til rotation, I went down w/ the ship on my scars duals. I could have sold them long before that, but then I wouldn't have owned them to use. Same deal...

 
Link139232
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posted December 16, 2012 07:22 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Link139232 Click Here to Email Link139232 Send a private message to Link139232 Click to send Link139232 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Link139232's Have/Want ListView Link139232's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
jace a 4-mana divination.

I hope you realize how wrong this is. The extra card is huge, and getting yourself something that you need by choice is even better.

I have a feeling Jace will be a good $30-40 in the long run. Let's not forget about Gatecrash and Dragons Maze. Let's not forget about block constructed, and surely not forget about Jace's standard legality for a LONG time. Who knows what the next block will bring?

 
JayC
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posted December 16, 2012 07:59 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for JayC Click Here to Email JayC Send a private message to JayC Click to send JayC an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View JayC's Have/Want ListView JayC's Have/Want List

Jace could easily bounce back.

Abrupt Decay could also bounce back a few bucks (and not be so god damn low like it is now for some reason).

It's early in this standard season and these cards overall lives in general, don't be so quick to think you made the right call - this game is full of surprises.

 
valorale
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posted December 16, 2012 01:55 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for valorale Click Here to Email valorale Send a private message to valorale Click to send valorale an Instant MessageVisit valorale's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Im not sure what the point of this thread is other than to illustrate the value of cards in Standard is extremely volatile. Baneslayer is the ultimate example of this, all it takes is the printing of a new set of cards to have the ones before it skyrocket or tank in value.

At this juncture most people agree that RTR cards are at a low thanks to set redemption from MTGO and massive product being opened. I also think most people wont be surprised if JaceAoT goes up in value sometime in Feb/March.

 
choco man
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posted December 16, 2012 02:18 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for choco man Click Here to Email choco man Send a private message to choco man Click to send choco man an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View choco man's Have/Want ListView choco man's Have/Want List
On Jace AoT, no one can tell you the future for sure. We can only look at the past.

At this point in time last year, Geist of St. Traft was ~$10 and trending down. He was released and dropped in price. Brian Sondag winning a SCG with Kessig/Inkmoth+Primeval didn't help. 3rd turn Geist doesn't race a turn 4 Primeval and those decks played 4x Slagstorm. But we see what price Geist is now. Standard changes.

The thing about mtg is that it's not as easy to short over-priced or downtrending cards; especially compared to the relative ease in speculating on a cheap card. If you want to be bold and stock up, easy. If you want to be bold and short, not so easy.

Even if Jace doesn't come around, it's tough to see him at the "cheap" some of the other walkers have dipped down into. He is a Jace after all, even Memory Adept isn't "cheap."

quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:

Mmmm I was definitely a little aggressive in that one. The point itself is moot now, considering that Deathrite wasn't a consideration back in June.

Whatever...Ooze never came close to replacing Goyf in RUG Delver even back in June. And this is even before Deathrite, so Deathrite is moot.

It has nothing to do with Ooze being pushed out. Goyf is just a better blue card.

quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
No one outside of MTGO is playing block, because block isn't a PT format this year. And Puffing up your chest doesn't change that fact that you were wildly incorrect about Jace's price path in addition to his playability in the format. As was stated in that thread multiple times, he's a niche card for control decks to use against other control decks. It's actually going to take quite a bit to get Jace outside of that role right now, considering the sheer number of plays that make jace a 4-mana divination.

Why are you pooping all over block when one of your basic tenets in determining future value is success in block constructed.


 
Zeckk
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posted December 16, 2012 05:27 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by choco man:
On Jace AoT, no one can tell you the future for sure. We can only look at the past.

At this point in time last year, Geist of St. Traft was ~$10 and trending down. He was released and dropped in price. Brian Sondag winning a SCG with Kessig/Inkmoth+Primeval didn't help. 3rd turn Geist doesn't race a turn 4 Primeval and those decks played 4x Slagstorm. But we see what price Geist is now. Standard changes.

The thing about mtg is that it's not as easy to short over-priced or downtrending cards; especially compared to the relative ease in speculating on a cheap card. If you want to be bold and stock up, easy. If you want to be bold and short, not so easy.

Even if Jace doesn't come around, it's tough to see him at the "cheap" some of the other walkers have dipped down into. He is a Jace after all, even Memory Adept isn't "cheap."

Whatever...Ooze never came close to replacing Goyf in RUG Delver even back in June. And this is even before Deathrite, so Deathrite is moot.

It has nothing to do with Ooze being pushed out. Goyf is just a better blue card.

Why are you pooping all over block when one of your basic tenets in determining future value is success in block constructed.


You were definitely correct about goyf being better in the blue-based tempo decks. Even the winning Junk lists from a couple weeks ago were running 4 goyfs along with only 1-2 oozes, though deathrite makes that deckbuilding strategy much more flexible. I can't really say deathrite is replacing ooze in the BUG lists, because BUG simply wouldn't exist back at tier 1 if deathrite didn't exist.

As for pooping on block - We are literally 1 set into block. The value of looking at the block meta right now is asinine, and it's hardly a logical indicator of card value. What matters is the fact that bonfire, rakdos's return, thundermaw, aristocrat, and searing spear are all in standard legal for at least a year, which makes the likelyhood of jace being a multi-archetype format staple extremely unlikely. It would legitimately take something like a ghostly prison effect in order to make jace playable outside of a control heavy meta.

 
daner
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posted December 16, 2012 05:44 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for daner Click Here to Email daner Send a private message to daner Click to send daner an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View daner's Have/Want ListView daner's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
No one outside of MTGO is playing block, because block isn't a PT format this year. And Puffing up your chest doesn't change that fact that you were wildly incorrect about Jace's price path in addition to his playability in the format. As was stated in that thread multiple times, he's a niche card for control decks to use against other control decks. It's actually going to take quite a bit to get Jace outside of that role right now, considering the sheer number of plays that make jace a 4-mana divination.

Puffing out my chest? Ok kid. Throw some more people under the bus next time your wrong again. At least I'll admit right now it looks real bad for my argument. I just don't deflect the subject to someone else.

All it could take is a few cards from GC to send Jace back up to 2-3x his current price, when a lot of cards you mentioned could be argued they are as high as they are going to go.

Look at the GoST argument. He was $20, then $10, now $30+.

I'll stand by Jace. It's still the best pw in standard. Control is just down atm.

 
Speed Demon
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posted December 16, 2012 06:25 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Speed Demon Click Here to Email Speed Demon Send a private message to Speed Demon Click to send Speed Demon an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by caquaa:
whos cares what hes worth right now. When jace was $50 and snaps were $15, I certianly would have did 2 snaps for a jace. I'd have flipped that jace within days too. If you sit on cards for value I'm not sure how to tell you, but your strategy is flawed. If you keep cards for playing with, then it doesn't matter. If jace is $100 or $10, you're not selling it so it doesn't have any real value.

I had a foil delver deck I played right up til rotation, I went down w/ the ship on my scars duals. I could have sold them long before that, but then I wouldn't have owned them to use. Same deal...



A+ Post.

 
Zeckk
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posted December 16, 2012 07:51 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by daner:
Puffing out my chest? Ok kid. Throw some more people under the bus next time your wrong again. At least I'll admit right now it looks real bad for my argument. I just don't deflect the subject to someone else.

All it could take is a few cards from GC to send Jace back up to 2-3x his current price, when a lot of cards you mentioned could be argued they are as high as they are going to go.

Look at the GoST argument. He was $20, then $10, now $30+.

I'll stand by Jace. It's still the best pw in standard. Control is just down atm.


Primal hunter is the best walker in standard, period. That's not even debatable. And it doesn't really matter what price aristocrat or thundermaw are at, their simple existence is what keeps jace from being more than a control vs. control card. Sphinx's Revelation is a much better CA engine, and that's reflected by the fact that people are jamming revelation into a host of midrange decks.

What actually worries me is the fact that we are seeing 4 and 5 color decks already performing at a competitive level despite only 5 shocks into the new format. I hope we get some serious non-basic land hate in GTC. If decks get forced back into 2 or 3 colors, it will bode well for the format in terms of diversity, as opposed to 5-color goodstuff.decs.

 
ardeay
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posted December 18, 2012 10:29 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for ardeay Send a private message to ardeay Click to send ardeay an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View ardeay's Have/Want ListView ardeay's Have/Want List
The posts answered my question, I know now what to do. Thank you!

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oneofchaos
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posted December 18, 2012 11:16 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for oneofchaos Click Here to Email oneofchaos Send a private message to oneofchaos Click to send oneofchaos an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by ardeay:
I posted a while back about how this guy was over priced, I caught a lot of flak for it. Now you can pick him up for a third of his original price, people are offering $13 for him in the buy forums. Man im happy I traded all mine away at $50.

Remember that 2 snapcasters for 1 jace aot deal that you told me was bad?

Do we got nuts and stock up? or do we laugh it off?

Cheers


Send my dearest condolences to your girlfriend/wife if you have one.

 
Link139232
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posted December 18, 2012 12:56 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Link139232 Click Here to Email Link139232 Send a private message to Link139232 Click to send Link139232 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Link139232's Have/Want ListView Link139232's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
Primal hunter is the best walker in standard, period. That's not even debatable.

Seriously?

He is barely better than Tibalt, lol. Awkward mana cost, easy to remove, doesn't do much to the board. Also, clearly fails the Aristrocrat/Hellkite test.

I would rather have cards in hand aside from a beast token, personally. If using Garruk's draw ability, you need to have something on the board already, where Jace does not.

 
Speed Demon
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posted December 18, 2012 02:14 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Speed Demon Click Here to Email Speed Demon Send a private message to Speed Demon Click to send Speed Demon an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Link139232:
Seriously?

He is barely better than Tibalt, lol. Awkward mana cost, easy to remove, doesn't do much to the board. Also, clearly fails the Aristrocrat/Hellkite test.

I would rather have cards in hand aside from a beast token, personally. If using Garruk's draw ability, you need to have something on the board already, where Jace does not.


You clearly do not keep up with standard.

Garruk sees way more play than Jace does.

Hell, Jace AoT isn't even the best jace in the format.

 
Link139232
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posted December 18, 2012 04:22 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Link139232 Click Here to Email Link139232 Send a private message to Link139232 Click to send Link139232 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Link139232's Have/Want ListView Link139232's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Speed Demon:
You clearly do not keep up with standard.

Garruk sees way more play than Jace does.

Hell, Jace AoT isn't even the best jace in the format.


Jace AoT is LEAGUES better than Jace MA.

Also, I know Jace doesn't see play much currently, doesn't mean Garruk is better.

I still think Jace will have his second sunrise :]

 

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