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Author Topic:   speculation fails
stizkidz
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posted January 17, 2013 05:20 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for stizkidz Click Here to Email stizkidz Send a private message to stizkidz Click to send stizkidz an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View stizkidz's Have/Want ListView stizkidz's Have/Want List
Post some cards the were hoarded based on speculation but never panned out:

1. Flash

 
moxdiamd
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posted January 17, 2013 05:26 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for moxdiamd Click Here to Email moxdiamd Send a private message to moxdiamd Click to send moxdiamd an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Quicken
 
walkerdog
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posted January 17, 2013 06:19 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for walkerdog Click Here to Email walkerdog Send a private message to walkerdog Click to send walkerdog an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View walkerdog's Have/Want ListView walkerdog's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by stizkidz:
Post some cards the were hoarded based on speculation but never panned out:

1. Flash


Paper flash or?

B/c on MTGO, it certainly made Mike Linto and the Classic Quarter folks a ton.

 
nylarotep
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posted January 17, 2013 06:21 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for nylarotep Click Here to Email nylarotep Send a private message to nylarotep Click to send nylarotep an Instant MessageVisit nylarotep's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View nylarotep's Have/Want ListView nylarotep's Have/Want List
Splinterfright
 
Goaswerfraiejen
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posted January 17, 2013 06:31 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Goaswerfraiejen Click Here to Email Goaswerfraiejen Send a private message to Goaswerfraiejen Click to send Goaswerfraiejen an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by stizkidz:
Post some cards the were hoarded based on speculation but never panned out:

1. Flash


It kind of did pan out, short-term. While the deck was legal, the card had increased sharply in value.


In my case, the worst was Skaab Ruinator: I'd swear that when I bought them, the text indicated any three cards, but I may have just misread it. That was a seriously big fail on my part.


__________________
"I have heard the mermaids singing, each to each. I do not think they will sing to me." -T.S. Eliot

RIP Ari

Legacy UGB River Rock primer. PM comments/questions.
Info on grad school in Phil.

 
MagicPatty
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posted January 17, 2013 07:45 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for MagicPatty Click Here to Email MagicPatty Send a private message to MagicPatty Click to send MagicPatty an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View MagicPatty's Have/Want ListView MagicPatty's Have/Want List
Visions of Beyond

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Got Mitotic Manipulation? Firemind's Foresight? Great! I want all bulk rares, check my H/W list!

 
Volcanon
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posted January 17, 2013 07:50 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Volcanon Click Here to Email Volcanon Send a private message to Volcanon Click to send Volcanon an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Any planeswalker after Jace 2.
 
LemonMeringue
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posted January 17, 2013 08:02 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for LemonMeringue Click Here to Email LemonMeringue Send a private message to LemonMeringue Click to send LemonMeringue an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View LemonMeringue's Trade Auction or SaleView LemonMeringue's Trade Auction or Sale
Personal Tutor (Temporal Mastery)

I spent way too much time trying to convince people locally that temporal mastery and skaab ruinator are terrible cards. Turns out people don't care

 
coasterdude84
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posted January 17, 2013 08:03 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for coasterdude84 Click Here to Email coasterdude84 Send a private message to coasterdude84 Click to send coasterdude84 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View coasterdude84's Trade Auction or SaleView coasterdude84's Trade Auction or Sale
Seedtime
 
Bugger
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posted January 17, 2013 08:07 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Bugger Click Here to Email Bugger Send a private message to Bugger Click to send Bugger an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Volcanon:
Any planeswalker after Jace 2.

Damnit, I was gonna say that.


Although to be fair 3cc Liliana was/is pretty decent.

 
keywacat
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posted January 17, 2013 08:09 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for keywacat Click Here to Email keywacat Send a private message to keywacat Click to send keywacat an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View keywacat's Have/Want ListView keywacat's Have/Want List
Steamflogger Boss!
 
Lord Crovax
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posted January 17, 2013 08:25 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Lord Crovax Click Here to Email Lord Crovax Send a private message to Lord Crovax Click to send Lord Crovax an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Volcanon:
Any planeswalker after Jace 2.

I dont get this one, PW start out inflated in price, so why would you speculate on something like that?

That said every PW aside from Tibalt, once they drop they ALWAYS go back up.

Look at stuff like Chandra Ablaze, she used to be bulk, now she is 5-6, every other PW has done the same dropped super low, then recovered.


As far as my speculation fail, Food Chain and Misthallow Griffin, expected someone to break that, no one did.

Luckily in last 5 years, that's my only fail, sadly my success are never high enough in volume to matter

__________________
I shall have the souls of all who defy me. "Lord Crovax"

 
marlo213
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posted January 17, 2013 08:31 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for marlo213 Send a private message to marlo213 Click to send marlo213 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View marlo213's Have/Want ListView marlo213's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Lord Crovax:
I dont get this one, PW start out inflated in price, so why would you speculate on something like that?

That said every PW aside from Tibalt, once they drop they ALWAYS go back up.

Look at stuff like Chandra Ablaze, she used to be bulk, now she is 5-6, every other PW has done the same dropped super low, then recovered.


As far as my speculation fail, Food Chain and Misthallow Griffin, expected someone to break that, no one did.

Luckily in last 5 years, that's my only fail, sadly my success are never high enough in volume to matter


I think this is a great opportunity to play a game, you buy 100 blind obedience and I get 100 five-alarm fire. Let's see what happens

 
Bugger
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posted January 17, 2013 08:35 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Bugger Click Here to Email Bugger Send a private message to Bugger Click to send Bugger an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
Wow, it took twelve replies before someone dragged their e-peen into this. We're getting better, guys! Next milestone: a whole page!
 
hilikuS
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posted January 17, 2013 08:50 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for hilikuS Click Here to Email hilikuS Send a private message to hilikuS Click to send hilikuS an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View hilikuS's Trade Auction or SaleView hilikuS's Trade Auction or Sale
quote:
Originally posted by keywacat:
Steamflogger Boss!

Yes! Me too...

I have a million Deadeye Navigators. Still waiting for that to come up.



[Edited 1 times, lastly by hilikuS on January 17, 2013]

 
Mr.C
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posted January 17, 2013 09:03 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Mr.C Click Here to Email Mr.C Send a private message to Mr.C Click to send Mr.C an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Mr.C's Have/Want ListView Mr.C's Have/Want List
What, nobody mentioned Time Reversal?

http://ark42.com/mtg/pricehistory.php?s=Magic+2011&c=Time+Reversal&d=0

In my case, Heartless Summoning and Scarecrone haven't panned out, so far.

[Edited 1 times, lastly by Mr.C on January 17, 2013]

 
Lord Crovax
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posted January 17, 2013 09:24 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Lord Crovax Click Here to Email Lord Crovax Send a private message to Lord Crovax Click to send Lord Crovax an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Bugger:
Wow, it took twelve replies before someone dragged their e-peen into this. We're getting better, guys! Next milestone: a whole page!

I expected it, was just matter of time. Don't think we will ever hit a full page!...

__________________
I shall have the souls of all who defy me. "Lord Crovax"

 
I3Iood
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posted January 17, 2013 09:54 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for I3Iood Click Here to Email I3Iood Send a private message to I3Iood Click to send I3Iood an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
It would be interesting to add quantity and price paid here.

Precursor Golem (few hundred)(~ $.75)

Tibalt, the Fiend-Blooded (50ish)($2.50) - before the duel deck was spoiled

 
hilikuS
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posted January 17, 2013 09:57 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for hilikuS Click Here to Email hilikuS Send a private message to hilikuS Click to send hilikuS an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View hilikuS's Trade Auction or SaleView hilikuS's Trade Auction or Sale
Eye of Ugin. 200ish for 1 Black Lotus.

[Edited 1 times, lastly by hilikuS on January 17, 2013]
 
fluffycow
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posted January 17, 2013 10:58 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for fluffycow Click Here to Email fluffycow Send a private message to fluffycow Click to send fluffycow an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View fluffycow's Have/Want ListView fluffycow's Have/Want List
Pithing needle ~36ish @ ~$10

:-(

 
Aznopium
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posted January 17, 2013 11:36 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Aznopium Click Here to Email Aznopium Send a private message to Aznopium Click to send Aznopium an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Aznopium's Have/Want ListView Aznopium's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by fluffycow:
Pithing needle ~36ish @ ~$10

:-(


when they were at 17ea before the first reprint, u were flying high I bet!

 
stab107
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posted January 17, 2013 11:46 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for stab107 Click Here to Email stab107 Send a private message to stab107 Click to send stab107 an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by hilikuS:
Eye of Ugin. 200ish for 1 Black Lotus.

LOL.

Boom//Bust

 
Zeckk
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posted January 17, 2013 11:57 AM   Click Here to See the Profile for Zeckk Click Here to Email Zeckk Send a private message to Zeckk Click to send Zeckk an Instant MessageVisit Zeckk's Homepage  Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View Zeckk's Have/Want ListView Zeckk's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by hilikuS:
Eye of Ugin. 200ish for 1 Black Lotus.

Give this one time. I imagine you won't be hating this deal so bad in 5 years.


Worst fail I've done so far - 50 foil Reckless Waifs and 30 Foil Wolfbitten Captives at roughly $1 each in trade value. Makes me wonder why Delver has flying, but Reckless waif doesn't have intimidate At least the captives I can sit on for cube purposes down the road.

Possible fail (won't know until after rotation) Currently at 22 foil Lyev Skynights at 12 Foil Hellhole Flailers, .50 each. Speculating based on post-rotation meta. I would be doing the same for rakdos cacklers, centaur healers, staticasters, and loxodon smiters, but the ship has already sailed on those.

 
Bugger
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posted January 17, 2013 12:04 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for Bugger Click Here to Email Bugger Send a private message to Bugger Click to send Bugger an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Zeckk:
Give this one time. I imagine you won't be hating this deal so bad in 5 years.


Worst fail I've done so far - 50 foil Reckless Waifs and 30 Foil Wolfbitten Captives at roughly $1 each in trade value. Makes me wonder why Delver has flying, but Reckless waif doesn't have intimidate At least the captives I can sit on for cube purposes down the road.

Possible fail (won't know until after rotation) Currently at 22 foil Lyev Skynights at 12 Foil Hellhole Flailers, .50 each. Speculating based on post-rotation meta. I would be doing the same for rakdos cacklers, centaur healers, staticasters, and loxodon smiters, but the ship has already sailed on those.


I think you're misunderstanding him, hili is making a callback to a very memorable thread right around when Kozilek was spoiled, one idiot was convinced beyond the point of reason that Eye of Ugin was going to be so incredibly expensive.

MOTL likes to memorialize its idiots. Who else remembers the guy who was "working with the pros" and knew that Lotus Cobra was going to break Extended with Azusa, Lost But Seeking?

 
junichi
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posted January 17, 2013 12:24 PM   Click Here to See the Profile for junichi Click Here to Email junichi Send a private message to junichi Click to send junichi an Instant Message Edit/Delete Message Reply With Quote View junichi's Have/Want ListView junichi's Have/Want List
quote:
Originally posted by Bugger:
I think you're misunderstanding him, hili is making a callback to a very memorable thread right around when Kozilek was spoiled, one idiot was convinced beyond the point of reason that Eye of Ugin was going to be so incredibly expensive.

MOTL likes to memorialize its idiots. Who else remembers the guy who was "working with the pros" and knew that Lotus Cobra was going to break Extended with Azusa, Lost But Seeking?



There ya go!

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