Author
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Topic: Post For Magic Stuff, Part 64.
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Lord Crovax Member
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posted December 19, 2011 11:17 PM

quote: Originally posted by wayne:
Probably both, either increased supply or decreased demand are enough on their own to result in a price decrease.
Guess question then becomes, where does it settle, and how long before it may rise back up? Assuming that happens at all. Just kind of curious seeing how It's Iconic, Mythic, low cost, versatile, and played in nearly anything that can support it, yet has been dropping in value, which correct me if i'm wrong, hasn't happened before. __________________ I shall have the souls of all who defy me. "Lord Crovax"
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gaeacradle Member
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posted December 19, 2011 11:34 PM
  
quote: Originally posted by Speed Demon: Scrubland (RV), 42.80, 10.52, 42.97, 50.00, 31.00, 0.88, 34Tropical Island (RV), 71.54, 9.51, 73.01, 102.50, 61.11, 0.40, 34 Comments?
Alright, I'll concede that 1 Trop is a tad less than 2 Scrubland, but not by much. But again, $20 + 1 Tropical is ridiculous.
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Irate Member
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posted December 19, 2011 11:38 PM

what card was it?
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choco man Member
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posted December 19, 2011 11:40 PM
  
quote: Originally posted by Lord Crovax: Guess question then becomes, where does it settle, and how long before it may rise back up? Assuming that happens at all.Just kind of curious seeing how It's Iconic, Mythic, low cost, versatile, and played in nearly anything that can support it, yet has been dropping in value, which correct me if i'm wrong, hasn't happened before.
Good cards drop in value all of the time, even ones that don't rotate. Rare cards with no play value and no chance of reprint also can drop in value. There are no sacred cows when it comes to money and mtg.
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dfitzg88 Member
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posted December 20, 2011 10:26 AM
  
quote: Originally posted by Lord Crovax: Guess question then becomes, where does it settle, and how long before it may rise back up? Assuming that happens at all.
she's gonna be in standard for a long while, so i'd be surprised if she never goes back up. she looks like she's easily broken. She's no mind sculptor, but she'll have her day.
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gcowhsu Member
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posted December 20, 2011 10:46 AM
  
quote: Originally posted by Lord Crovax: Guess question then becomes, where does it settle, and how long before it may rise back up? Assuming that happens at all.Just kind of curious seeing how It's Iconic, Mythic, low cost, versatile, and played in nearly anything that can support it, yet has been dropping in value, which correct me if i'm wrong, hasn't happened before.
It's a giant mystery like the stock market. I'm still trying to figure out how Dark Confidant is valued much higher than onslaught fetchlands. I thought Dark Confidant would crash after it was a bust in Modern, but hasn't moved much it actually skyrocketed and then went down just a little. This card gets less play and is newer than P.Deed, Maze, City of Traitors, Natural Order (though this is seeing less and less), Mox Diamond, Lion's Eye Diamond (etc), but is valued higher than all of these. It gets almost no play in Modern. I see Loam lists without it and I figure that's where he should be as he's in Loam for Legacy.
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nderdog Moderator
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posted December 20, 2011 11:31 AM
  
quote: Originally posted by Bagbokk: It'd logically have to be decreased demand, but I'm just picking at random details...
How do you figure? Increased supply seems pretty obvious. Lots of product is being opened still, with some of the recent GP Trials using sealed format, and people still drafting and kids cracking packs and all. __________________ There's no need to fear, UNDERDOG is here!All your Gruul Nodorogs are belong to me. Trade them to me, please! Report rules violations. Remember the Auctions Board!
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WeedIan Member
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posted December 20, 2011 11:36 AM
  
Does anyone know who i contact to get unbanned from Salvation?I was banned for being a banned user but I've never been banned from that site before. Weird part about it is all I have is "You've been banned for linking to a banned user" No evidence just a ban with no explanation. Like most of you I'm not a fan of that site but I'd rather not be branded without some due process. __________________ Member Since 03/28/2001 11000+ posts 1st in posts in Ontario 13th in posts on MOTL Top 5 in Refs in Ontario (by people who location posted)
[Edited 1 times, lastly by WeedIan on December 20, 2011]
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coasterdude84 Member
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posted December 20, 2011 11:55 AM
  
quote: Originally posted by gcowhsu: It's a giant mystery like the stock market.I'm still trying to figure out how Dark Confidant is valued much higher than onslaught fetchlands. I thought Dark Confidant would crash after it was a bust in Modern, but hasn't moved much it actually skyrocketed and then went down just a little. This card gets less play and is newer than P.Deed, Maze, City of Traitors, Natural Order (though this is seeing less and less), Mox Diamond, Lion's Eye Diamond (etc), but is valued higher than all of these. It gets almost no play in Modern. I see Loam lists without it and I figure that's where he should be as he's in Loam for Legacy.
I've maintained for a while that Bob is the best creature ever printed, and I still stand by it. Granted, everything you've said is true, and there isn't a reason for it being as high as it is. That said though, I think he's just waiting in the wings for the right deck to take off. I run him in my Rock deck, and he's probably a bigger threat to my opponent than a Stoneforge. And on the other side, if I'm staring down a Bob and Goyf, unless the Goyf will kill me immediately, I'll always kill the Bob. Two or three turns worth of card advantage will change the game. Not really sure why he's a bust in Modern, but then again, does anyone actually play Modern? I'm half joking and half serious, I know exactly zero people locally that play it. The consensus here is, "well, I've already shelled out the money for duals, I'm sticking with Legacy."
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FleeceItOut Member
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posted December 20, 2011 12:35 PM

even though modern is better than extended, it's still mainly played as a PTQ format
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CubFan81 Member
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posted December 20, 2011 12:43 PM
  
quote: Originally posted by gcowhsu: I'm still trying to figure out how Dark Confidant is valued much higher than onslaught fetchlands. I thought Dark Confidant would crash after it was a bust in Modern, but hasn't moved much it actually skyrocketed and then went down just a little. This card gets less play and is newer than P.Deed, Maze, City of Traitors, Natural Order (though this is seeing less and less), Mox Diamond, Lion's Eye Diamond (etc), but is valued higher than all of these. It gets almost no play in Modern. I see Loam lists without it and I figure that's where he should be as he's in Loam for Legacy.
One thing Medina has right is Price Memory. Mostly that cards jump in price super quick but take forever to come back down regardless of play. People that bought Confidants during the hype jumped in at different points. Some at $20, some at $25, even more at $30, etc, etc. Those on the higher end of the buy in are hesitant to sell for less than what they paid so their cards are effectively off the market, keeping the supply down and keeping the price up, justifying them not selling their copies and the cycle continues. The fact that its actually a good card that just needs the right home also keeps people from selling to not miss out on having it when they need it. Another example are cards like Tabernacle that jumps from $100ish to $200+ when 43 Lands did well at a couple SCG Opens early on. It hasn't seen any kind of serious tournament play since then but Tabernacle is still ridiculously high. Also see P3K cards like Strategic Planning. __________________ PMs don't work in Chrome or Firefox 4.0+, see HERE for work arounds.
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harbingerofthevoid Member
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posted December 20, 2011 01:24 PM
  
quote: Originally posted by coasterdude84: ... I know exactly zero people locally that play it. The consensus here is, "well, I've already shelled out the money for duals, I'm sticking with Legacy."
Yes but, you live in an area of the country that there is active Legacy. Searching within 30 miles of your location there looks like there are 5 places that have "regular" Legacy play. Searching around me, within 100 miles, zero. So of course, if you have the cards to play Legacy and you have a steady place to play it, why not play it. __________________ NEQUAQUAM VACUUM My girlfriend does good work Give me your Sleight of Minds M:tG set printing and spreadsheet utility
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Bagbokk Member
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posted December 20, 2011 02:30 PM

quote: Originally posted by nderdog: How do you figure? Increased supply seems pretty obvious. Lots of product is being opened still, with some of the recent GP Trials using sealed format, and people still drafting and kids cracking packs and all.
Because the supply is increasing for everything in Innistrad (and SOM block really), yet only Liliana has really taken this big of a hit to her value from where she was when the set was still very fresh. Garruk went from 20 to 15 slowly, Snapcaster is still the same at about 20, the rare lands seemed to have went from about 5-6 to 3-4, etc., but Liliana went from 40-45 to 25 and has leveled off around there. What it means was that there was too much hype for Liliana compared to what she should have gotten, and the demand for her has since plateau-ed off and she's stabilizing more around where she's supposed to be. Further creeping down in price (if any) can probably be attributed to increased supply, but this initial big drop is due to decreased demand.
[Edited 1 times, lastly by Bagbokk on December 20, 2011]
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fluffycow Member
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posted December 20, 2011 02:36 PM
  
Has anyone ever bought some of those repacks on ebay? They seem to be for suckers, but I am super curious
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caquaa Member
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posted December 20, 2011 04:02 PM
  
quote: Originally posted by fluffycow: Has anyone ever bought some of those repacks on ebay? They seem to be for suckers, but I am super curious
for curious suckers... lol. Don't do it. I think you'd have better odds buying a lotto ticket.
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Heresy19 Member
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posted December 21, 2011 05:36 AM
  
quote: Originally posted by caquaa: for curious suckers... lol. Don't do it. I think you'd have better odds buying a lotto ticket.
Unless it's a new dude who just started A couple of years ago I bought the first 10 repacks of 2 ''repackers'' and I got a Savannah NM and a Force of Will EX+ with other goodies. They often start by sending valuable cards for the first few buyers to get awesome refs with comments saying that they got big cards and then the crap starts endlessly flowing.
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fluffycow Member
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posted December 21, 2011 08:03 AM
  
quote: Originally posted by caquaa: for curious suckers... lol. Don't do it. I think you'd have better odds buying a lotto ticket.
Yeah, no one is dumb enough to put actual powers in those packs. But some of them have such nice pictures...
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Bagbokk Member
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posted December 21, 2011 09:41 AM

quote: Originally posted by Heresy19: Unless it's a new dude who just started A couple of years ago I bought the first 10 repacks of 2 ''repackers'' and I got a Savannah NM and a Force of Will EX+ with other goodies. They often start by sending valuable cards for the first few buyers to get awesome refs with comments saying that they got big cards and then the crap starts endlessly flowing.
I'm sure there are some honest repackers (I've bought one from MOTL many many years ago, I guess before they were banned), but repacks are too easy to manipulate. The whole point of repacks is to get more value from the collection than it's actually worth, so no one's ever going to buy all X repacks available from someone, hence always leaving them the opportunity to keep the highest value cards. And because it's supposed to be random, you can't legitimately complain when you don't get the one Lotus they have there no matter how much you spent, if you didn't buy all of them. The chances of it being a scam are just way too high for them to be worth even looking at, regardless of how much feedback the guy has in general or how many of them say that they received (insert high value card here). It's pretty much the same with collections on eBay, which is why when people list the good stuff from their collection, the additional "AND 1000+ MORE RARES!" will be valued at exactly 1000 bulk rares.
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dfitzg88 Member
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posted December 21, 2011 10:56 AM
  
quote: Originally posted by fluffycow: Has anyone ever bought some of those repacks on ebay? They seem to be for suckers, but I am super curious
i was considering going into the business of selling repacks because it looks profitable, but i was going to use a system that at least gave the buyer SOMETHING decent. then i realized with paypal fees and ebay fees, it can ONLY be profitable if you are sending <$1 worth of stuff to 90% of the people.
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Liq Member
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posted December 21, 2011 01:26 PM
  
Gah. It looks like I'm 100 planeswalker points shy of getting 3 byes for GP Seattle next year. I might have been able to get there if the other LGS was able to run 2 more FNMs (lack of players).__________________ <Jazaray> LIQ! <Jazaray> you broke MOTL <Liq> totally <BoltBait> Don't make me kick you <Slinga> Have no fear, MOTL's janitor is here! <nderdog> So we're all agreed, it's Liq's fault, right? <Leshrac> let me deal with that * Liq has been banned
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mattw Member
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posted December 21, 2011 04:13 PM
  
So my trade binder is getting annoyingly full of riff raff. Anyone know of somebody that trades for bulk rares?And will actually accept the trade, the couple times recently I offered bulk rares according to someone's point system they just never got back to me.
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rockondon Member
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posted December 21, 2011 04:16 PM
  
The only interesting thing about repack auctions is scrolling through the seller's history for feedback like "YAY I got the lotus!!" so I know what the seller's other ebay account is. __________________ |My Angels~My P9 l""|"\__, |~~My #1 Angel~~l'_|'_|_|) |(@)(@)""***|(@)(@)**|(@)
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Denizen Member
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posted December 21, 2011 04:22 PM

Are there any good places to find, I guess summations of M:tG historical storylines?Basically, I'm trying to read the Time Spiral novel, but it's grating. I'm not sure I want to put in the time to read the whole thing, but I'm absolutely interested in the mtg storyline. I guess mostly anything connected to Dominaria, but I am interested in learning about what's been happening with everything in general. __________________ post-post-rock
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ryan2754 Member
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posted December 21, 2011 04:25 PM
  
quote: Originally posted by Denizen: Are there any good places to find, I guess summations of M:tG historical storylines?Basically, I'm trying to read the Time Spiral novel, but it's grating. I'm not sure I want to put in the time to read the whole thing, but I'm absolutely interested in the mtg storyline. I guess mostly anything connected to Dominaria, but I am interested in learning about what's been happening with everything in general.
Wikipedia. Seriously.... Links: http://wiki.mtgsalvation.com/index.php?title=Category:Weatherlight_Saga&until=Titania http://wiki.mtgsalvation.com/article/Timeline
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Denizen Member
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posted December 21, 2011 04:30 PM

Yeah, I've heard of wikipedia. I guess I was looking for a different atmosphere.__________________ post-post-rock
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